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In the new poll, taken Friday through Sunday, McCain leads Obama by
54%-44% among those seen as most likely to vote. The survey of 1,022
adults, including 959 registered voters, has a margin of error of +/— 3
points for both samples. -USA Today
It's meaningless, although more meaningful than a poll showing a democrat
ahead by 10. But it's fun to extrapolate. Add the Bradley
factor, and McCain could be ahead by 20. Or, the media are puffing
McCain's numbers so a fall to, say +2, looks like a downslide (he had
been trailing by 8). I can feel the Mo.
If the election was held today, I'd bet money on McCain taking 40+
states, including Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
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Obama's meteoric rise" was but a media creation, we knew that all along.
ReplyDeleteHis largest support base are the demographics least likely to vote, youth and blacks.
According to Zogby, McCain's favorability rating increased from 50% favorable last week to 57% favorable now. That's significant.
But more significant - independents. Among independent voters, 61% now have a favorable impression of McCain and Obama is down at 47%.
A simple fact of American politics: Taking the conservative position works like a charm, every time.
You're making me giddy.
ReplyDeleteDepending on the composition of the polity.
ReplyDeleteThis is good news though, and expected.
Casca