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Romney +11 seems about right
We
know to a certainty that media polls are little more than Obama
agitprop. Their polls are principally skewed by over sampling
Democrat
voters, and by making inflated assumptions about voter turnout. Here's
a site that purports to "unskew" that skewedness. I do know
this—these
numbers pass the sniff test, which is way more than a New
Yorks
Time's poll showing Obama in a romp.
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012 2:32:40
PM
|
| Poll |
Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Obama(D) |
Romney(R) |
Spread |
| UnSkewed Avg. |
9/4 - 9/20 |
-- |
-- |
44.0 |
51.8 |
Romney +7.8 |
| Reason/Rupe |
9/13 - 9/17 |
787 LV |
4.3 |
45.0 |
52.0 |
Romney +7 |
| Reuters/Ipsos |
9/12 - 9/20 |
1437 LV |
2.9 |
44.0 |
54.0 |
Romney +10 |
| NBC News/WSJ |
9/12 - 9/16 |
736 LV |
3.6 |
44.0 |
51.0 |
Romney +7 |
| Monmouth Univ. |
9/13 - 9/16 |
1344 LV |
2.5 |
45.0 |
50.0 |
Romney +5 |
| QStarNews |
9/10 - 9/15 |
2075 |
3.0 |
44.0 |
55.0 |
Romney +11 |
| NY Times/CBS News |
9/8 - 9/12 |
1162 LV |
3.0 |
44.0 |
51.0 |
Romney +7 |
| Democracy Corps |
9/8 - 9/12 |
1000 LV |
3.1 |
43.0 |
52.0 |
Romney +8 |
| Fox News |
9/9 - 9/11 |
1056 LV |
3.0 |
45.0 |
48.0 |
Romney +3 |
| Wash. Post/ABC News |
9/7 - 9/9 |
826 LV |
4.0 |
45.0 |
52.0 |
Romney +7 |
| CNN/ORC |
9/7 - 9/9 |
875 RV |
3.5 |
45.0 |
53.0 |
Romney +8 |
| IBD/CSM/TIPP |
9/4 - 9/9 |
808 RV |
3.5 |
41.0 |
50.0 |
Romney +9 |
| ARG |
9/4 - 9/6 |
1200 LV |
3.0 |
43.0 |
53.0 |
Romney +10 |
|
UnSkewed Polling Data
|
| Poll |
Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Approval |
Disapproval |
Spread |
| UnSkewed Avg. |
9/4 - 9/20 |
-- |
-- |
44.1 |
52.9 |
Disapproval 8.8 |
| Reason/Rupe |
9/13 - 9/17 |
787 LV |
4.3 |
44.0 |
53.0 |
Disapproval 9 |
| NBC News/WSJ |
9/12 - 9/16 |
736 LV |
3.6 |
44.0 |
54.0 |
Disapproval 10 |
| QStarNews |
9/10 - 9/15 |
2075 |
3.0 |
45.0 |
55.0 |
Disapproval 10 |
| NY Times/CBS News |
9/8 - 9/12 |
1162 LV |
3.0 |
44.0 |
51.0 |
Disapproval 7 |
| Democracy Corps |
9/8 - 9/12 |
1000 LV |
3.1 |
42.0 |
55.0 |
Disapproval 13 |
| Fox News |
9/9 - 9/11 |
1056 LV |
3.0 |
45.0 |
53.0 |
Disapproval 8 |
| Wash. Post/ABC News |
9/7 - 9/9 |
826 LV |
4.0 |
45.0 |
49.0 |
Disapproval 4 |
| CNN/ORC |
9/7 - 9/9 |
875 RV |
3.5 |
44.0 |
53.0 |
Disapproval |
|
” |
cuzzin ricky
|
Under disapproval, I didn't see a "I hate the sonuvabitch". They obviously haven't called anybody on this forum.
ReplyDeleteI've had two political survey calls this week, and as soon as they wanted to know if I was Hispanic or African American, I told them I was a Uyghur Muslim who voted for Uhbama in 08, but now I hated Uhbama because Uhbama didn't fix immigration, I was voting for Romney. They hung up.
Lt. Col. Gen. Tailgunner dick
Duh? Dick Morris gives me comfort. He's a pig, but I like him. He has stuck to his position that Romney's got it. And I dont believe with $4 gas and high unemployment that all women care about is guvmint provided birth control and mop-ups.
ReplyDeleteTim
Damned it Rodger! Obama is winning! Didn't you get the memo? He's ahead in all 57 states by at least 9 points and is not--I repeat NOT--pilfering any of the White House silverware. Yet.
ReplyDeleteWe're going to beat Obama like a bass drum come November. Pay no attention to the polls, take no counsel of your fears.
ReplyDeleteAfter watching part of the news last night, I wanted to get up and walk away. I just could not face another four years of the Won. I could not believe the swing in OH and FL of 10+ points. Then again, I remembered my oh-so-smart brain-dead relatives in Indiana who were whooping and hollering for Teh Won. Two kids by a woman-beater, and she advises "working two jobs and 50-60 hours a week is good reason to be smart when picking the father of your children. Go Obama!"
ReplyDeleteIdiotic.
There just may be 50%+1 in enough states to re-elect the smarmy empty suit. Those who vote based on the 'facts' they hear on television are voting to empty their wallets. One woman noted that she had seen ads where Romney was cold-hearted and had put so many people out of work.
WTF does she think Teh Won has done? Doubled gas prices, 23 MILLION out of work, more on food stamps, and average income dropping by thousands and she's concerned about bankrupt companies where the rescue was just not possible?
Brain dead. And she votes.
I am afraid there are just too many who don't pay enough attention, and vote based on how their last TV ad moved them...
tomw
It HAS to be a full-fledged Reagan-esque rout.
ReplyDeleteNo winning by a few percent or a couple of Electoral votes.
The Progressives have to be CRUSHED.
The country and the world need to understand that we will not go softly into the night and that we reject the Current Path....