Why Obama will win - WTF?

Three Simple Reasons Why Obama Will Win Re-Election Philip Greenspun burnishing a reputation for prognostcation?  -or just being an asshat?

“ Continuing my tradition of December election predictions (2007), let me note that I am not listening to any news about the 2012 Presidential election. I believe that Barack Obama will win the general election by a slim margin, e.g., 51/49 percent of the popular vote. Here are my reasons:     people are afraid of change and will favor an incumbent if one is available     Obama ended the Iraq war     Americans know in their hearts that Obama is not responsible for the stagnant economy [Philip Greenspun cunt] Before I respond - a disclosure cur·mudg·eon  (kr-mjn) n. An ill-tempered person full of resentment and stubborn notions. I stand with a vast minority of people who see our system so corrupted as to be unsalvageable without truly revolutionary action.  There is no prospect for that happening this year.  I think that a nation of people who would elect a zero like Obama in the first instance are capable of any execrableness.  That said -     Obama ended the Iraq war The Iraq war had ended and was won.   Did Truman end WWII  in 1952?  That's when the occupation forcesin Japan were withdrawn.  What Obama did  is better described as bail.  He  left  the patient in the recovery room with open wounds.  It took just 24 hours before infection began to set in.  Prognosis- "Arab Spring"  The forthcoming bloodshed in Iraq is on him. Americans know in their hearts that Obama is not responsible for the stagnant economy As hard as it is to believe, I know people who feel that way.  But I call bullshit on the idea that they're  a majority.  Why isn't Barney Frank running for reelection?  He said it's because he was gerrymandered out of his safe district. In Massachusetts?  Bullshit.  Even Boston reporters were asking him whether he felt responsibility for crashing the economy.  People know. This is a Democrat  depression. Mitt Romney will be the nominee.  He will be subjected to the full Sarah Palin treatment.  Every degree of  of anti-Mormon hate, hysteria and falsehood are in the media script.   I think he'll still win, but what will we have won?  Richard Nixon?  Or President Bush (pick-em) at best?  Belay that.  We will have ended the Obama reign of terror, so there's that. ”