Sunday, February 26, 2012

Media King Makres

Hitler's Mustache               

Media King Makers

Res Ipsa Loquitur

For the sake of this argument, go with me.  The sports media last September made the Indianapolis Colts the prohibitive favorite to win the  AFC,  and represent that conference in the Super Bowl  M'kay?   Every week for the rest of the season they asked fans, "What NFC  team will beat the Colts in the Super Bowl?"  Here's the first week's results.

Polling Data

September 1
Team Favorite to beat COLTS  (%)
 Spread (%)
Dallas Cowboys 6.25
New York Giants 6.25  93.75
Philadelphia Eagles 6.25 93.75
Washington Redskins 6.25 93.75
Chicago Bears 6.25 93.75
Detroit Lions 6.25 93.75
Green Bay Packers 6.25 93.75
Minnesota Vikings 6.25 93.75
Atlanta Falcons 6.25 93.75
Carolina Panthers 6.25 93.75
New Orleans Saints 6.25 93.75
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6.25 93.75
Arizona Cardinals 6.25 93.75
St. Louis Rams 6.25 93.75
San Francisco 49ers 6.25 93.75
Seattle Seahawks 6.25 93.75

What you're looking at then,  is  this sorryass poll

Polling Data (Plug in your own "Team")

Poll Date Sample Obama (D) Romney (R) Spread
RCP Average 2/8 - 2/23 -- 48.9 44.1 Obama +4.8
Rasmussen Tracking 2/21 - 2/23 1500 LV 48 41 Obama +7
Associated Press/GfK 2/16 - 2/20 1000 A 51 43 Obama +8
USA Today/Gallup 2/16 - 2/19 898 RV 46 50 Romney +4
Quinnipiac 2/14 - 2/20 2605 RV 46 44 Obama +2
Democracy Corps (D) 2/11 - 2/14 1000 LV 49 45 Obama +4
CNN/Opinion Research 2/10 - 2/13 937 RV 51 46 Obama +5
CBS News/NY Times 2/8 - 2/13 1604 RV 48 42 Obama +6
PPP (D) 2/9 - 2/12 1200 RV 49 42 Obama +7
Pew Research 2/8 - 2/12 1172 RV 52 44 Obama +8
FOX News 2/6 - 2/9 1110 RV 47 42 Obama +5

I'm painting with a broad brush here, but all these data do is give democrat punters a wet dream.  In reality,  it shows one of the least popular Republican candidates able to get substantial votes from fans of the Texas Pauls, Georgia Newts, and Pennsylvania What's His Face's  to come within a FG of beating the Kenyan Commies..  A sterile exercise, at best.  At best.  Oui?


The Committee said...

Could be worse, Rog! Polls are taken by pollsters on the phone and most of the Obama voters don't have 'em.

Anonymous said...

most of the Obama voters don't have 'em.
Actually, I think most of them have more cell phones per family than unUhbama people, but maybe not land lines.
Usually when a pollster calls me, I find the questions are posed in a form to give a predetermined result and I hang up on them.
Because of the prevalent polling bias, IIRC, a tie in pre-election polls usually means a 10-15 point loss for the Dem. The pollsters never talk about all the conservative non-responders that see the bias or just don't want to be bothered because they have a life beyond keeping pollsters employed.
Lt. Col. Gen. Tailgunner dick

Anonymous said...

Two Kings of Hearts? If you're sitting down to a game of Hold'em and with a hand that looks like that you've got a serious problem.

Rodger the Real King of France said...

King Makers? Get it? Lousy no good four-flushers.

Anonymous said...

Obama's gonna get eight (8) states. Maybe.

You heard it here first.


(not using Google to sign in because they're CSMFing data snoops)

DougM said...

Should be a Queen of Hearts.
"Why don't you play a little solitaire?"

DougM said...

... or diamonds.
Yeah, Queen of Diamonds.

Post a Comment

Just type your name and post as anonymous if you don't have a Blogger profile.