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After yesterday’s
post on poll trustworthiness, I started wondering whether there’s
any poll or model that’s been consistently accurate over time and
therefore worth watching down the stretch as a weathervane of where the
race really stands. I e-mailed two experts whom I trust and put that
question to them. Is there any steady signal they trust amid the
cacophony of statistical noise? Anyone we can look to as a beacon in
the darkness when the NYT drops its next D+10 sample of Utah or
whatever on us?
Short answer: No, there’s no one .... [Allahpundit
cont]
Related
In 2008, ABC and George Stephanopoulos declared Barack Obama and Joe
Biden the winner in
four out of four presidential and vice
presidential debates. So, it seems likely that ABC might be gearing up
for more of a "die" moment and less "do."
ABC's David Muir on Thursday hyped the presidential election as
"slipping away" from Mitt Romney and pushed the idea that next week's
presidential debate is "do-or-die" for the Republican.
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