Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Early Electoral Map

According to *Newsweek* at the time, "John Anderson’s impact on the race was largely overshadowed by the broad-based Reagan landslide. It was in one sense tempting to view him as a spoiler; Anderson’s vote was actually greater than Reagan’s margin of victory in thirteen states, among them New York, Wisconsin, North-Carolina and Connecticut. But had Anderson not run, Carter would have picked up barely half (49 per cent) of his vote; 37 per cent of Anderson voters said they would have backed Reagan." (http://www.salon.com/2011/04/04/third_party_myth_easterbrook/)

Since I see a parallel between Trump-Clinton? & 1980's Reagan Carter contestboth being  the worst president in history at the timeCarter is now 3rdI've included the polling history above.  In that race Reagan (32%) trailed Jummy (39%) in early June/July.  By early August Reagan was up  45% - 29%.  That lead that dropped to 47% - 44% on election day.  But, Reagan won 51% - 41%,  winning all but four states (including Maryland), and DC.  The term "silent majority' was born, and has driven Democrats nuts ever since (leading to  the Left's war against the "Christian coalition."  Anyway, bookmark this so you can give me the raspberries after the election, or marvel at my political prescience.


Rodger the Real King of France said...

Actually, the case can be made that Carter is the second worse, with Johnson third, and Clinton 4th. Or, take all four and roll them into a pasty ball.

Juice said...

Or, take all four and roll them into a spit wad for your shooter.

Billll said...

I have it from several noted authorities that the upcoming election will be a blowout landslide. For whom seems to be still up in the air.

Roy Lofquist said...

Landslide yes.

Trump. On the Orlando massacre:

‘The days of deadly ignorance will end, and they will end soon’

Mic drop. Nothing left to do except shoot the survivors.

Rodger the Real King of France said...

I won't pretend to understand the mindset of any person who would even contemplate voting for Hillary Clinton, or indeed, any Democrat. However, the press in 1980 had yet to openly and actively align themselves against Reagan as is the case today. Even still, it's beyond my ken to see anything but an overwhelming Trump victory- and if Hillary is still his opponent, a crushing defeat for Democrats at every level.

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