Wednesday, July 20, 2016

The New York Times speaks:


For now, at least, Hillary Clinton has a 76 percent chance of defeating Donald Trump to become president of the United States.

A victory by Mr. Trump remains quite possible: Mrs. Clinton’s chance of losing is about the same probability that an N.B.A. player will miss a free throw.

This electoral probability, the first forecast by the Upshot’s presidential prediction model, is based on the voting history of each state and on roughly 300 state and national polls of the race conducted since mid-April.

Our model suggests Mrs. Clinton is a strong favorite in 14 states and the District of Columbia, enough to give her 186 of the 270 electoral votes she needs to win the White House. Add to this eight more states that polls currently show are leaning Democratic — including Minnesota, Michigan and Pennsylvania — and Mrs. Clinton would have 275 electoral votes and the presidency. [FULL]

Give this much to the New York Times; they never, ever, give up. Like here. Cutting to the chase: Whence a model for this historic election?  When in the past have we seen open terrorist campaigns to kill police officers while the POTUS blames the cops? When has a major party's presidential candidate  faced certain criminal indictment, and brazenly been let off the hook by a crooked DOJ?   When have a majority of Americans felt that they have one last chance to save the Union with their vote?  There is no "model."  Not in this country. The only way Hillary Clinton becomes President is through blatant vote manipulation that sends the nation into open rebellion, and martial law imposed. I do not rule that part out.

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