Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Inflation

The I word


If you were born after Jimmy Carter, you haven't experienced inflation.  Here's a good primer from the Ludwig von Mises Institute   An MP3 audio file of this article, read by Dr. Floy Lilley, is available for download.]  

Inflation, always and everywhere, is primarily caused by an increase in the supply of money and credit. In fact, inflation is the increase in the supply of money and credit. If you turn to the American College Dictionary, for example, you will find the first definition of inflation given as follows:

Undue expansion or increase of the currency of a country, especially by the issuing of paper money not redeemable in specie.

In recent years, however, the term has come to be used in a radically different sense. This is recognized in the second definition given by the American College Dictionary:

A substantial rise of prices caused by an undue expansion in paper money or bank credit.

Now obviously a rise of prices caused by an expansion of the money supply is not ...    What You Should Know About Inflation, 

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

"...We can always stop it overnight, if we have the sincere will to do so."
And the is the problem, we lack the will, as a nation to do just about anything: Bold action is a lost art.
RAK

OregonGuy said...

So...let's say we keep fractional reserve requirments constant. What would cause an increase in the money supply?

If the demand for cash increases, your going to see lower bond prices. But as bond prices drop, interest rates increase.

Interest rates are the costs we pay for money. Which, would tend to reduce the demand for money.

But what happens when there are shortages in the market, without increases in the money suppy or increases in the interest rate? Is there an "undue expansion" of the money supply? No.

Scarcity of goods tends to increase price. The increase of price is the signal to producers that the market wants more of a good.

But what if the market is closed? What if the market is limited to what it can produce by legislative fiat?

As the demand for increased energy supply is felt through higher prices, what are the barriers to producing more energy? Is it that investors have decided that making more money is a bad thing? Or, is it that the energy policies of our nation and its various states, are opposed to industry solving this problem with increases in production?

We have long-term structural energy problems. No new drilling. No new refineries. As a Federal policy.

Just as we continue to whistle blindly down the path toward Social Security insolvency, we continue to whistle down the path of structural energy shortages.

So, as prices go up--in a market with steady money supply--the market reaction is to sit there and watch it happen, because its hands are tied.

Leftist Visions of Tomorrow have limited market reactions to supply. They want a Utopia, but don't allow those who would supply that Utopia to do business.

So, we burn food for fuel. Progressive, huh?

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