Sunday, September 07, 2008

What's that crashing?

Whoops
McCain leads Obama by 10 among likely voters

In the new poll, taken Friday through Sunday, McCain leads Obama by 54%-44% among those seen as most likely to vote. The survey of 1,022 adults, including 959 registered voters, has a margin of error of +/— 3 points for both samples. -USA Today

It's meaningless, although more meaningful than a poll showing a democrat ahead by 10.  But it's fun to extrapolate.  Add the Bradley factor, and McCain could be ahead by 20. Or, the media are puffing McCain's numbers so a fall to, say +2, looks like a downslide (he had been trailing by 8).  I can feel the Mo.  If the election was held today, I'd bet money on McCain taking 40+ states, including Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. 
9/07/2008 10:33:00 PM 3 Comments

"If the number of Islamic terror attacks continues at the current rate, candlelight vigils will soon be the number-one cause of global warming. "
Argus Hamilton


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3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Obama's meteoric rise" was but a media creation, we knew that all along.

His largest support base are the demographics least likely to vote, youth and blacks.

According to Zogby, McCain's favorability rating increased from 50% favorable last week to 57% favorable now. That's significant.

But more significant - independents. Among independent voters, 61% now have a favorable impression of McCain and Obama is down at 47%.

A simple fact of American politics: Taking the conservative position works like a charm, every time.

9/8/08, 7:36 AM
Rodger the Real King of France said...

You're making me giddy.

9/8/08, 7:51 AM
Anonymous said...

Depending on the composition of the polity.

This is good news though, and expected.

Casca

9/8/08, 10:10 AM

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