Internal Polls

FOR WHOM THE POLLS RING

Exit polling in 2004 was nearly unanimous. Democrats and Republicans were evenly distributed when it came to who voted. (This is NBC, I earlier cited a CBS analysis showing the same result). Moving forward, Gallop is reporting an even distribution among the 11% who've voted early in the 2008 election.  Do you see a pattern here? But virtually every poll - no, make that every poll, still samples more Democrats than Republicans, because the Donks have more registered voters.   Why?  What matters is who shows up to vote! Why does Election Projection  (to whom I subscribe) continue to use polls showing Obama ahead in  Pennsylvania by 11-15 points?  When last week we played for you the audio showing Obama's internal polling at under 2%?  And this week Gov. "Fast Eddie" Rendell warned Obama he'd better get back into PA if he wants to save it?  I want to know why there are no polls that use the same polling techniques that the campaigns use,  The "Internal Poll."  Because they're almost always spot-on?   In 1980, while the Baltimore Sun was calling the election a squeaker, Jimmy Carter's pollster was telling him he was about to be slaughtered. The only reason I can think of, is that pollsters respond to what the client wants.  Makes sense.  They are, after all, marketing companies. Where the campaigns demand accurate results, so they know where to use resources, they get them.  So, what is the New York Times, and NBC are asking for?  I'm just saying.