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Ever since I wrote my
anti-Obama piece, I have received numerous emails from Republicans and
Democrats alike, asking whether I still think Obama will lose the
election. Yes, I do. But what about the polls, they ask? The polls show that Obama is winning. No, they don't, as I will explain.
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Steven M. Warshawsky in this American Thinker
piece analyzes the polls in a straightforward and compelling
manner. His conclusion comports with my own less analytical, but
based on the historical record, conclusion that polling data are
manipulated to give a desired result. The article is short but concise,
so please do read it.
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Moreover, the idea –
implicit in the daily fluctuations of the polls – that large numbers of
American voters are regularly switching back and forth between McCain
and Obama makes no sense. Who knows any real people who are going
through such mental and political gymnastics?
In
short, the polls do not show that Obama is "winning" the race, anymore
than they show that McCain is "winning" the race. What they show is
that the contest is very close, and will not be decided until election
day -- when the American people actually go to the polls and cast their
votes.
For the reasons I've stated before, I predict that more votes will be cast for McCain than for Obama.
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And what about what I think is calculated terrorism?
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Whether or not, as some irresponsible commentators have suggested, there will be violence in
the streets if Obama loses, it will be deeply damaging to the nation's
social fabric for John McCain's election to be challenged from the
start as illegitimate.
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Every election brings complaints
from the left about underground rumors
in Black neighborhoods of police monitoring the polling place, looking
to make arrests for child support, parole, and other violations.
These Rovian tactics, they say, suppress the Black vote. Nobody
is ever fingered for passing these rumors, but the point is well made
-- any attempt at voter verification will be racist. So what is
this? It's aimed at white knuckle Whites, who worry about race
riots. Not only that, Liberal judges will take the threat into
account should voter fraud complaints land on their docket.
When the smoke clears, I'm confident I'll be watching Vice President Palin sworn in on Jan. 20, along with Whatshisname. And if anybody tries to race-riot in my house, they'll get plugged.
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