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Of course, what the GOP apparat does is less important
nowadays than it was. As I noted before, there’s a whole lot of
disintermediation going on here — Scott Brown got money and volunteers
via the Internet and the Tea Party movement, to a much greater degree
than he got them from the RNC. Smart candidates will realize that, too.
And lies don’t work as well as they used to. Obama promised
transparency and pragmatic good government, but delivered closed-door
meetings and outrageous special-interest payoffs. This made people
angry. If Republicans promise honesty and less-intrusive government,
but go back to their old ways, the likelihood that the Tea Party will
become a full-fledged third party is much greater. Are the Republicans
smart enough to realize this? I don’t know. The Democrats weren’t smart
enough to look at Virginia and New Jersey and realize that what they
were doing was a mistake that would backfire.
And on the third-party front, the Tea Party enthusiasm for Scott
Brown bespeaks considerable pragmatism. Republicans who are seen as
sellouts may face third-party challenges — or primary challenges, or
both — but support for Brown indicates that people aren’t in a “take
your marbles and go home” mode yet. Throwing a monkey-wrench into the
ObamaCare works was seen as more important than getting the perfect
candidate in, and that was a very wise move. I suspect that we’ll see
similar pragmatism between now and November, but the GOP should also
remember — as was shown in NY-23 — that making an example to encourage
the others can be pragmatic, too.
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