Saturday, October 30, 2010

How Sarah Barracuda Becomes President


President Palin

This NEW YORK magazine article,  2012: How Sarah Barracuda Becomes President, has much to recommended it.   Let's start by using it to answer a question Josh asked after I dissed John Boehner as the next speaker: "What's wrong with Boehner?"

All those guys, they could try and turn it up and have the fervor, but voters are gonna read through it,” says Dowd. “It’s just not authentic to them, because they’ve been part of the Washington scene or taking part in state politics, where they cut deals and made compromises—which is part of governing but lethal in this environment.

That assessment was aimed at establishment guys (Romney. et.al.) running for president, but it applies to Boehner as well.  In this regard John Heilemann displays an understanding of the Teaparty that few others have displayed.  He notes that in any other year Mitt Romney would be the GOP's  designated (can you say John McCain) candidate, but "his favorability among conservative voters is just 30 percent."

The reasons are myriad, but paramount among them is his role in enacting a health-care law in Massachusetts that bears a striking similarity to the controversial (and loathed on the right) federal overhaul that Democrats passed this year.

Others are similarly dismissed in a Teaparty environment:
  • Pawlenty is an erstwhile liberal on climate change;
  • Huckabee is widely written off because he lacks the capacity to raise big cash and his appeal is limited to Evangelicals
  • We Republicans are so desperate for an ideas guy like Newt Gingrich that sometimes we even turn to Newt Gingrich, ... “[But] he is not a serious candidate for president.
  • [Texas Gov. Rick] Perry’s a hero to Second Amendment zealots and shit-kickers alike. But Perry hasn’t given the slightest public indication that he’s interested in running, and even if he did get in, he might well prove no match for Palin in the anti-Establishment tier.
How will the Establishment candidates cope with [Palin the candidate]? “The first thing it does is completely freaks them out ... And the hard part is, it’s going to be difficult for them to go after her, because she’s so popular [within the party] - Segue Bloomberg factor - in a nutshell.

Moderate Republicans would rebel and turn to someone with business acumen - Bloomberg.  Running as a third-party candidate, he siphons off New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, and California. Denying Obama those states.

 ... with Palin holding the fire-engine-red states of the South, and the president might find himself short of the 270 electoral votes necessary to win.

Assuming you still remember the basics from American Government 101, you know what would happen next: The election would be thrown to the House of Representatives—which, after November 2, is likely to be controlled by the Republicans. The result: Hello, President Palin!


There are plenty of  liberal laugh lines that leak through, but while I won't be putting money on this scenario right now, it's a very good effort.

 
RELATED - Watch Bloomberg:

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

"Mitt Romney would be the GOP's designated (can you say John McCain) candidate"
McCain was never the designated candidate, he was foisted upon republicans by lack of coverage of better choices.
"We Republicans are so desperate for an ideas guy like Newt Gingrich"
No we aint. Newt made a whole lot of promises he never intended to keep.
“The first thing it does is completely freaks them out ... And the hard part is, it’s going to be difficult for them to go after her, because she’s so popular"
No, it will be another MSM hit piece year. You don't need to convince anyone with an IQ over 10, you need to win the Oprah deciples.
"Moderate Republicans would rebel and turn to someone with business acumen - Bloomberg."
Not even the worst pantywaist "moderate" could mistake bloomy for anything but the wannabe lib dictator that he is.
Real simple solution...Bolton/Thompson! A no holds barred, don't care who you are prez candidate, and a second who can talk.

wmprof said...

Bolton/Thompson with Christie as the mouthpiece of the campaign. Bolton/Thompson in a perfect world, but they both have enough sense to NOT run.

Enough dreaming... the Dems will retain control through vote fraud, the ignorant masses will continue to obey their masters in the MSM, and no patriots will rise up and overthrow the illegitimate elitists running this mess.

When does the football game start?

Oldschool said...

If it goes to the House, the vote is by state delegation with each state having one vote. A tie in the delegation means no vote for that state. With fifty states a majority of 26 states would be necessary for a candidate to win the presidency. This is the lame duck House, by the way, which in 2012 will be the one we are electing on Tuesday. The current lame duck House from the 111th congress has the D's with 32 state majorities, the R's have 16 and two (Hawaii and Idaho) are split 1-1. After Tuesday we will know what the new delegation lineup is. Who knew all that tedious boring constitutional stuff in school could be so important in our lives...

Post a Comment

Just type your name and post as anonymous if you don't have a Blogger profile.