Friday, February 10, 2012

Bravo Sierra Polls

Tom Smith responds to "20% of Republicans leaning towards Obama"
 


Res Ipsa Loquitur

So I read this poll because the headlines are "20% of Republicans leaning towards Obama" and thought 'no fricken way!

That really aint the headline. Drill through the details and there are a bunch of better headlines

  • 64% of people under $50k are not making Obama a definite choice.
  • 43% of independent would choose Gingrich or Romney over Obama
  • 28% of democrats would vote consider NOT voting for Obama
  • 39% of blacks would support someone other than Obama
  • 51% of hispanics would support someone other than Obama
  • Over 50% of those under 20 years old would vote for someone other than Obama
What makes me think that a good number of people taking this poll were having sex and not paying attention while answering the questions (sez sumpin about who they were with) is that 15% of "very conservative" voters would vote for Obama.

How ever you cut this down the headline is very misleading and Obama has little chance of getting re-elected. I know, I know, we can't be complacent and this will be spun as a close race all the way to the morning after but I doubt this clown will get but a few states in the general election.

All props to Tom for showing how to use his noodle.  I mean his head of course.  Er, the cranium.
 



4 comments:

TimO said...

It would be more fun if everyone would mess with the polsters and claim to support His Highness. Let him think he has a 10-15% lead going into the election, then campaign like crazy the last couple of months and slam him back to the street corners of Chicago with a 20% landslide loss....

Mile 66 said...

People tend to lean towards the person they're about to kick in the ass. Just sayin'.

Kristophr said...

More like 20% of all poll responders lie for shits and giggles.

I wonder how many of the responders simply hung up, just after they told them to lose their number or they would find them and shoot them?

That demographic never seems to get included in these polls.

Jay said...

Always lie to pollsters. Always.

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