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Public
Policy Polling, a Democratic firm, shows West Virginia's Democratic
governor and Senate candidate Joe Manchin with a 6-point lead over
Republican John Raese, 50% to 44%. Two weeks ago, PPP put Manchin up 3
points over Raese, while Rasmussen showed Raese with a 7-point lead six
days ago.
The fact that PPP predicts a more Democratic electorate than Rasmussen
does explains a good deal of the difference between the two polls.
Rasmussen's partisan spread in its poll a week ago was 48% Democrat,
35% Republican, 17% independent.
PPP's partisan spread is 55% Democrat, 35% Republican, 11% independent.
According to exit polls, Rasmussen is predicting the partisan spread
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My
experience is these are the only two pollsters to pay attention
to, based on recent past performance. One of them will be going
down. My money says Rasmussen will be left standing.
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