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First, let me lay out the difference between
pollsters who want the truth and those who want to drive news cycles
for media clients. Most of the best Democrat and GOP pollsters are
people you have scantly heard about because their clients are not news
outlets, but are instead campaigns, party committees and outside groups
who need to target their spending and messaging.
For
example, a veteran GOP pollster told me once that he never polls the
South or certain Midwestern states on Wednesday. The reason is because
prayer groups and or Wednesday congregation will automatically cause an
under sampling of his client’s core supporters.
None of these firms do media polls. Rarely
will they release their results publicly unless it is to counter a
series of poorly done media polls at the client’s request. They are
paid to be accurate and to tell the truth. Being on MSNBC or Fox is not
how they make their living. It is no coincidence that most of these
guys, Democrat or Republican generally come back with almost identical
numbers when they go in the field at the same time. Why do you think
the two POTUS campaigns schedule their stops in the same state? Both
campaigns have roughly the same numbers on a nightly basis. Lying to
your client could cost said pollster work down the road, especially if
the sunshine pumping causes decisions that lead to a loss. An old
pollster friend has told me many times in races – they (the Dems) see
the same thing we do.
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Over the years a number of today's media rock stars cut their teeth on
Free Republic. Ann Coulter and News Busters' Mark Finkelstein
come immediately to mind. This chap, "GOPFlack"
may join them, based on this work. Of
course it's possible that this is Karl Rove, working sub rosa, but no
matter. |
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